¿Mantendrá Morena la presidencia de México después de las elecciones federales de 2030?
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This market will resolve to Yes if Morena holds the presidency of Mexico after the federal elections of 2030, meaning the candidate or ticket backed by Morena wins the presidency and remains the governing party after the official election result is determined.
It will resolve to No if Morena does not retain the presidency following those elections. The cutoff for determining the outcome is 2030-09-30 09:00 UTC, corresponding to the end date provided.
The official resolution source is the Instituto Nacional Electoral (INE). If INE’s official election result is available, that result takes precedence.
If INE later issues a formal correction, recount result, or legally binding validation that changes the presidential winner, that later official determination will be used.
If the election is delayed, rerun, annulled, or subject to a legal challenge, the market will resolve according to the first final official result published by INE for the 2030 federal presidential election.
If no final official result has been issued by the cutoff, resolve using the latest official INE determination available at that time; do not assume No by default.